Alternative Premier League table after 17 matches, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 17 matches, based on expected goals
Another weekend of Premier League football has come and gone, with one of the most hotly-anticipated matches of the season ending in a home win.Liverpool’s 3-1 defeat of north west rivals Manchester United returned Jurgen Klopp’s side to the top of the table, having been knocked from first on Saturday due to Manchester City beating Everton.Sadio Mane and Xherdan Shaqiri scored the goals that downed Man United at Anfield4
Sadio Mane and Xherdan Shaqiri scored the goals that downed Man United at Anfield
Elsewhere, top four rivals Tottenham and Chelsea also both won, but Arsenal suffered a shock defeat at relegation threatened Southampton, with Ralph Hasenhuttl securing a win in his first home match as Saints manager.Other big results included Watford’s 3-2 defeat of Cardiff – a game which included four truly stunning goals – and Bournemouth’s loss at Wolves, which moved Nuno’s side into the top seven.But how has the weekend’s action changed the alternative Premier League table based on expected goals? Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Burnley Real position = 18Real points = 12 | Expected points = 11.6619.Fulham Real position = 20Real points = 9 | Expected points = 13.7318. Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 13Real points = 21 | Expected points = 14.7217. Newcastle United Real position = 14Real points = 16 | Expected points = 15.0816. Huddersfield Town Real position = 19Real points = 10 | Expected points = 15.60The performances are there for Huddersfield, but the results are not4
The performances are there for Huddersfield, but the results are not
15. Cardiff City Real position = 16Real points = 14 | Expected points = 18.6714. Southampton Real position = 17Real points = 12 | Expected points = 19.1313. Crystal Palace Real position = 15Real points = 15 | Expected points = 20.6112. West Ham Real position = 9Real points = 24 | Expected points = 21.3311.Manchester United Real position = 6Real points = 26 | Expected points = 23.54Man United’s points tally (26) this season is their lowest at this stage of a season since 1990/914
Man United’s points tally (26) this season is their lowest at this stage of a season since 1990/91
10.Everton Real position = 8Real points = 24 | Expected points = 23.629. Bournemouth Real position = 11Real points = 23 | Expected points = 23.638. Leicester City Real position = 12Real points = 22 | Expected points = 24.957. Watford Real position = 10Real points = 24 | Expected points = 26.086. Arsenal Real position = 5Real points = 34 | Expected points = 26.30Arsenal’s unbeaten run has finally come to an end4
Arsenal’s unbeaten run has finally come to an end
5.Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 7Real points = 25 | Expected points = 28.984. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 3Real points = 39 | Expected points = 29.963.Chelsea Real position = 4Real points = 37 | Expected points = 34.862.Liverpool Real position = 1Real points = 45 | Expected points = 37.091. Manchester City Real position = 2Real points = 44 | Expected points = 41.21

Liverpool represent a huge threat to Barcelona’s Champions League hopes.

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